Conf = Atlantic Sun State = NC
Nickname = Royals Coach = Kelly McQuilkinGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.8154144 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A East Carolina American ( 4-12, 86.3) 12-15 214 H Elon Colonial ( 9- 8, 87.7) 15-10 217 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (11- 7, 85.3) 14-10 221 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 91.7) 6-19 228 A Winthrop Big South ( 2-13, 78.2) 13- 8 305 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 81.1) 14- 5 308 H Robert Morris MAC ( 8-12, 81.6) 8-13 314 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 0-17, 74.4) 16- 4 316 H Furman Big South ( 8-10, 84.1) 11-13 320 A Wofford Big South ( 7- 9, 82.5) 18-11 324 A Clemson Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.5) 4-21 330 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 82.2) 17-12 406 A Liberty Atlantic Sun ( 6-12, 87.6) 18-15 413 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (14- 6, 89.0) 14-21 417 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-11, 82.5) 21- 2 420 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 9- 9, 88.4) 7-10 427 A Lindenwood Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 87.3) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A East Carolina 12-15 -3 -1 -1.76 214 H Elon 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.85 217 H Canisius 14-10 4 1 + 2.44 221 A Virginia Tech 6-19 -13 -6 -0.39 228 A Winthrop 13- 8 5 6 -1.85 305 H Duquesne 14- 5 9 5 1.21 308 H Robert Morris 8-13 -5 5 --- -10.23 314 A Gardner Webb 16- 4 12 10 0.00 316 H Furman 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.77 320 A Wofford 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.39 324 A Clemson 4-21 -17 -8 0.00 330 A Kennesaw State 17-12 5 2 + 2.11 406 A Liberty 18-15 3 -2 ++ 5.48 413 H Coastal Carolina 14-21 -7 -2 -- -4.87 417 H Stetson 21- 2 19 4 + 2.64 420 H Jacksonville 7-10 -3 -1 -1.46 427 A Lindenwood 12-13 -1 -2 1.21UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Robert Morris 8-13 -5 5 --- -10.23 316 H Furman 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.77 413 H Coastal Carolina 14-21 -7 -2 -- -4.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Elon 15-10 5 0 ++ 5.85 320 A Wofford 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.39 406 A Liberty 18-15 3 -2 ++ 5.48 217 H Canisius 14-10 4 1 + 2.44 330 A Kennesaw State 17-12 5 2 + 2.11 417 H Stetson 21- 2 19 4 + 2.64
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 85.98 Power Rank................. 77 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.82 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 95 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5057 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 103 RPI Rating............... .4568 RPI Rank................... 79 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 101 Selection sum ........... 256 Selection Rank ............ 81 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -155. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 74 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -155. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 74 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0